Multiple studies have shown that kids not only do not die in any statistical significance, but that they also do not transmit the virus. Please consider these studies and adjust to June 2020 science, not March 2020.
Study in Nature Journal
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-0962-9
*Exact quote: “Accordingly, we find that interventions aimed at children might have a relatively small impact on reducing SARS-CoV-2 transmission, particularly if the transmissibility of subclinical infections is low.”
Journal of the American Academy of Pediatrics
https://pediatrics.aappublications.org/content/pediatrics/early/2020/05/22/peds.2020-004879.full.pdf
*Clearly states that there is little risk of children spreading COVID19, even if they get infected (often asymptomatically)
*Multiple citing’s of confirmed cases by children that did not spread to other children or to the parents in constant close contact.
*Exact quote: “Similarly, transmission of SARS-CoV-2 by children outside household settings seems uncommon”
*Exact quote: “Based on these data, SARS-CoV-2 transmission in schools may be less important in community transmission than initially feared. This would be another manner by which SARSCoV-2 differs drastically from influenza, for which school-based transmission is well recognized as a significant driver of epidemic disease and forms the basis for most evidence regarding school closures as public health strategy.1”
*Exact quote: “These data all suggest that children are not significant drivers of the COVID-19 pandemic. It is unclear why documented SARS-CoV-2 transmission from children to other children or adults is so infrequent.”
Australian study of children and COVID19
http://ncirs.org.au/sites/default/files/2020-04/NCIRS%20NSW%20Schools%20COVID_Summary_FINAL%20public_26%20April%202020.pdf
* An Australian study of 15 schools has found a transmission rate of 0.23% for the coronavirus between infected people and those who had close contact with them. (NOTE: 0.23% transmission should be compared to the CDC planning document estimation of 2.5, which would be 10 times lower)
*Study found NO cases where an infected student infected a teacher. (NONE!)
*In all, 863 people came into close contact with 9 students and 9 teachers with the coronavirus during the four-week study. 2 people got subsequently infected
*Both the secondary infections were from faculty to students and neither was deemed serious.
Study shows that under age 65 risk from COVID19 is LESS than the risk of driving to school every day.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.05.20054361v2
*Exact quote: “The COVID-19 death risk in people <65 years old during the period of fatalities from the epidemic was equivalent to the death risk from driving between 13 and 101 miles per day for 11 countries and 6 states”
*Exact quote: “Of course, a major difference between influenza and COVID-19 is that the latter does not cause deaths in otherwise healthy children, in contrast to influenza.”
General COVID19 symptomatic study shows that they are not contagious
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32513410/
*Relevant considering that most students will be asymptomatic.
*455 close contacts to COVID19 positive asymptomatic patients, NONE became positive.
*Includes range of 4 to 5 days of close contact including family domiciles.
Science of COVID19 not being a threat as science has new data
CDC planning document was design for LCPS type purposes
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios-h.pdf
*Says that overall IFR is 0.26 regardless of age and underlying condition, which is within range of a bad flu season
*Says that between 50-60, IFR is 0.13%, basically equivalent to the flu
*Says that under 50 IFR is 0.0325% or 1/3 as deadly as the flu (see children specifically below)
Dr. Fauci paper in New England Journal of Medicine that says ultimate IFR will be around the flu at 0.1%
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2002387
Netherlands study chartered by their congress breaks out by age group.
https://esb.nu/blog/20059695/we-kunnen-nu-gaan-rekenen-aan-corona
Stanford collection of studies from around the world
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.13.20101253v1.full.pdf
Italian study comes close to same number as US CDC
https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/bollettino/Bollettino-sorveglianza-integrata-COVID-19_20-maggio-2020.pdf
US scientific study that says the medical risk of COVID19 for different ages.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.05.20054361v2
*US based study, but took in data from around the entire world
*People over 65 are between 20X and 84X more likely to die than under 65 (Take note that is 2,000% to 8,400%)
NPR article confirming the lower IFR rate
https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/05/28/863944333/antibody-tests-point-to-lower-death-rate-for-the-coronavirus-than-first-thought
(NOTE: NPR still only cites high estimated numbers, but acknowledges it’s not as bad as once thought)
German Dept of Interior study results show no need to mitigate COVID19
https://www.ichbinanderermeinung.de/Dokument93.pdf
(NOTE: Google Translator required to read)
Some of the report key passages are:
*The dangerousness of Covid-19 was overestimated: probably at no point did the danger posed by the new virus go beyond the normal level.
*The people who die from Corona are essentially those who would statistically die this year, because they have reached the end of their lives and their weakened bodies can no longer cope with any random everyday stress (including the approximately 150 viruses currently in circulation).
*Worldwide, within a quarter of a year, there has been no more than 250,000 deaths from Covid-19, compared to 1.5 million deaths [25,100 in Germany] during the influenza wave 2017/18.
*The danger is obviously no greater than that of many other viruses. There is no evidence that this was more than a false alarm.
Accidental finding that 40-60% of the population had T-cell immunity to COVID19
https://www.cell.com/cell/fulltext/S0092-8674%2820%2930610-3#.XtUNRAVlzFA.twitter
*Found that cross T-cell activity from other coronavirus against COVID19 existed in 40-60% of the study participants.
*Study was intended to assist vaccine research, not look for this result
*Exact quote: “We detected SARS-CoV-2-reactive CD4+ T cells in ∼40%–60% of unexposed individuals, suggesting cross-reactive T cell recognition between circulating “common cold” coronaviruses and SARS-CoV-2.”
There has been no spike since lockdown has opened up
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
Science of COVID19 for VA specifically
VDH age related statistics
https://www.vdh.virginia.gov/coronavirus/
* There have been no deaths of children in VA
* There have been no deaths of children in Loudoun County
*76% of all deaths in VA have been over 70
*92% of all deaths in Loudoun County have been over 70
VA Outbreaks and Nursing Home statistics
https://www.vdh.virginia.gov/coronavirus/
*76% of all outbreaks in Loudoun County are in Nursing Homes
*62% of all VA deaths are from Nursing Homes (Loudoun exact #s NA)
Despite significant increases in testing, Northern Virginia continues to see a significant decline in cases
https://www.vdh.virginia.gov/coronavirus/